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2024-12-14 09:08:41

Zhao Bo, an associate professor of economics in the National Development Research Institute of Peking University, pointed out that since the Third Plenary Session of the Eleventh Central Committee of the Communist Party of China, the proportion of China's household consumption in GDP has experienced a short-term rise and a continuous decline, and rebounded around 2009, and it is currently maintained at around 40%.In July this year, some measures were introduced to support large-scale equipment renewal and trade-in of consumer goods (that is, "two new"). Among them, 300 billion yuan of ultra-long-term special national debt is regarded as the key driving force for the effective implementation of the "two new" policies. Judging from the landing effect, this move is also promoting the accelerated release of consumption potential. According to the data of the Ministry of Commerce, it took 79 days for the current round of national home appliance trade-in sales to exceed 100 billion yuan, and it took only 40 days from 100 billion yuan to 200 billion yuan; As of 24: 00 on December 9, the total number of automobile trade-in has exceeded 5 million, including 2.44 million scrapped and 2.59 million replaced.Zhao Bo, an associate professor of economics in the National Development Research Institute of Peking University, pointed out that since the Third Plenary Session of the Eleventh Central Committee of the Communist Party of China, the proportion of China's household consumption in GDP has experienced a short-term rise and a continuous decline, and rebounded around 2009, and it is currently maintained at around 40%.


In view of investment, the meeting once again stressed the need to "improve investment efficiency." Cai Yang, Investment Research Institute of the National Development and Reform Commission, and Hao Xiaojing, China Academy of Fiscal Science wrote that the so-called "benefits" mainly have three characteristics: overall situation, long-term nature and adaptability. In the "expanding the effective investment index system" compiled by them, comprehensive economic benefits, adapting to demographic changes, accelerating the formation of new quality productive forces, and consolidating national strategic security are the four expected first-level indicators to quantify investment benefits. Cai Yang and Hao Xiaojing believe that the government should create a good macro-environment, institutional environment and market environment, adjust the direction and intensity of macro-control in a timely manner, comprehensively use various policies to guide the allocation of social resources, and strive to achieve a series of expected indicators.In view of investment, the meeting once again stressed the need to "improve investment efficiency." Cai Yang, Investment Research Institute of the National Development and Reform Commission, and Hao Xiaojing, China Academy of Fiscal Science wrote that the so-called "benefits" mainly have three characteristics: overall situation, long-term nature and adaptability. In the "expanding the effective investment index system" compiled by them, comprehensive economic benefits, adapting to demographic changes, accelerating the formation of new quality productive forces, and consolidating national strategic security are the four expected first-level indicators to quantify investment benefits. Cai Yang and Hao Xiaojing believe that the government should create a good macro-environment, institutional environment and market environment, adjust the direction and intensity of macro-control in a timely manner, comprehensively use various policies to guide the allocation of social resources, and strive to achieve a series of expected indicators.The relevant person in charge of the National Development and Reform Commission has said many times before that consumption is a function of income, and it is necessary to increase the income of urban and rural residents through multiple channels to promote consumption. In fact, the series of measures deployed by the Central Economic Work Conference are also important aspects that are generally called for by academic circles and industries. Zhang Bin, deputy director of the Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, has repeatedly stressed that the essence of insufficient demand lies in the negative cycle between "expenditure-income-credit". Therefore, it is a vital measure to boost residents' consumer confidence from the income side.


Among the nine key tasks of economic work next year, "vigorously boosting consumption, improving investment efficiency and expanding domestic demand in all directions" ranks first. Among them, "consumption" has been placed in a more important position. The Central Economic Work Conference pointed out that it is necessary to grasp key links to complete the key tasks of economic work next year, and focus on boosting domestic demand, especially consumer demand.Among the nine key tasks of economic work next year, "vigorously boosting consumption, improving investment efficiency and expanding domestic demand in all directions" ranks first. Among them, "consumption" has been placed in a more important position. The Central Economic Work Conference pointed out that it is necessary to grasp key links to complete the key tasks of economic work next year, and focus on boosting domestic demand, especially consumer demand.

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